Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.953722 4.238846 4.543640 4.895289 5.291811 5.727478 6.245655
2025-07-06 3.454364 3.840567 4.278510 4.817826 5.472589 6.253313 7.273023
2025-07-13 3.163734 3.603190 4.121785 4.790360 5.647277 6.735594 8.270287
2025-07-20 3.004792 3.490527 4.083085 4.877652 5.946307 7.385177 9.571649
2025-07-27 2.886676 3.409903 4.066614 4.978166 6.258861 8.080681 11.061658
2025-08-03 2.752049 3.293696 3.988974 4.981364 6.427008 8.582745 12.352684
2025-08-10 2.604296 3.148052 3.858172 4.894054 6.447214 8.854571 13.310740
2025-08-17 2.461629 2.999239 3.711079 4.767960 6.390763 8.989528 14.045218
2025-08-24 2.354377 2.891061 3.611469 4.700207 6.413025 9.250962 15.076348
2025-08-31 2.294068 2.842495 3.590450 4.744630 6.613930 9.843196 16.941834
2025-09-07 2.229400 2.783872 3.550545 4.755455 6.758249 10.353195 18.791933
2025-09-14 2.123702 2.662908 3.414003 4.606206 6.616356 10.302761 19.291892
2025-09-21 2.036323 2.566700 3.312419 4.511126 6.569651 10.452062 20.416292
2025-09-28 1.960959 2.484664 3.227946 4.438139 6.555913 10.668918 21.826833
2025-10-05 1.904264 2.426761 3.176067 4.413638 6.625945 11.070415 23.957680
2025-10-12 1.877569 2.410729 3.185775 4.490283 6.889944 11.941012 28.076042
2025-10-19 1.855284 2.399805 3.202114 4.578442 7.185605 12.950935 33.498645
2025-10-26 1.814447 2.359520 3.170516 4.581245 7.312539 13.584607 38.028114
2025-11-02 1.758282 2.294203 3.096535 4.504676 7.269740 13.779533 40.772317
2025-11-09 1.697769 2.220406 3.006213 4.393917 7.145963 13.740817 42.363040
2025-11-16 1.651661 2.166965 2.946298 4.334317 7.124934 13.980262 45.774213
2025-11-23 1.629000 2.148306 2.941244 4.373401 7.319212 14.868097 54.344077
2025-11-30 1.601410 2.121073 2.920965 4.382922 7.449554 15.606190 63.420897